Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: 4RACING WISHES YOU A BLESSED FESTIVE SEASON MR 89 OPEN HANDICAP (3 years old) (3 year olds)
Line Horse
Futurewolff
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bonete 3 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 89 74 89 +0 2 Pragmatist 5 57.5 2 0.90 0.0 84 87 87 +3 3 Futurewolff 5 53.5 3 4.00 0.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Rosy Lemon 5 54.5 4 4.05 0.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Just Eminent 3 54.0 5 5.00 7.0 77 62 67 -10 6 Vesuvio 5 54.5 6 6.75 0.0 78 77 77 -1 7 Kill Shot 2 56.0 7 9.75 0.0 81 80 80 -1 8 Midnight Crystal 2 49.0 8 10.00 0.0 73 66 66 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonete | 89 | 85 | 89 | -4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pragmatist | 84 | 81 | 87 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Futurewolff Line | 76 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Rosy Lemon | 78 | 72 | 78 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Just Eminent | 77 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Vesuvio | 78 | 85 | 77 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kill Shot | 81 | 54 | 80 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Midnight Crystal | 73 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points