Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING MONDAY 2 JANUARY FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
There She Goes
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lil Miss Moneybags 3 58.0 1 0.00 6.0 76 56 76 +0 2 There She Goes 6 57.5 2 2.00 0.0 67 67 67 +0 3 In The Beginning 3 61.0 3 2.25 6.0 82 62 72 -10 4 Big City Girl 4 49.5 4 2.75 7.0 54 37 44 -10 5 Second Breath 2 61.0 5 4.20 4.0 82 66 72 -10 6 Scottadito 3 55.5 6 4.25 6.0 63 51 53 -10 7 Risky Business 3 55.0 7 4.50 6.0 62 50 52 -10 8 Maboneng 3 56.0 8 5.50 6.0 64 52 54 -10 9 Red Carpet Girl 3 54.0 9 5.75 6.0 60 48 50 -10 10 Lady Sanza 3 58.0 10 7.25 6.0 68 56 58 -10 11 Kwazzi's Lady 4 57.0 11 8.25 7.0 66 52 56 -10 12 Barmaid 2 58.0 12 8.75 4.0 76 60 66 -10 13 Silver Clock 2 58.0 13 11.00 4.0 76 60 66 -10 14 Devilish Dancer 4 55.5 14 11.25 7.0 63 49 53 -10 99 Morethanafeeling 2 54.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 53 53 +0 99 Feather The Nest 4 54.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 46 46 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lil Miss Moneybags | 76 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | There She Goes Line | 67 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | In The Beginning | 82 | 91 | 72 | +19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Big City Girl | 54 | 59 | 44 | +15 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Second Breath | 82 | 79 | 72 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Scottadito | 63 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Risky Business | 62 | 75 | 52 | +23 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Maboneng | 64 | 67 | 54 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Red Carpet Girl | 60 | 55 | 50 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lady Sanza | 68 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kwazzi's Lady | 66 | 82 | 56 | +26 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Barmaid | 76 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 13 | Silver Clock | 76 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 14 | Devilish Dancer | 63 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Morethanafeeling | - | 77 | 53 | +24 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Feather The Nest | - | 54 | 46 | +8 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points