Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 67 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Mr Molony
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    All The Time         3    57.5    1    0.00     5.0   65    58           65    +0
2    Walton Hall          5    49.5    2    0.15     0.0   50    52           52    +2
3    Seattle Beat         4    55.5    3    0.55     3.0   63    63           63    +0
4    Mr Molony            3    60.5    4    0.85     5.0   68    68           68    +0
5    Justfortheepenny     5    54.5    5    3.45     0.0   56    63           63    +7
6    Sir Theodore         3    55.0    6    5.45     5.0   57    53           53    -4
7    Bugsy Malone         5    54.5    7    6.65     0.0   56    62           62    +6
8    El Dante             7    60.0    8    7.35     0.0   67    73           73    +6
9    Imperial Order       3    60.5    9    9.85     5.0   78    64           68    -10
10   Arrow's Mark         6    57.5    10   10.65    0.0   62    68           68    +6
11   Don Reposado         3    55.0    11   16.55    5.0   57    53           53    -4
12   Callmemrgreenlight   3    53.5    12   22.95    5.0   54    50           50    -4
99   Riccardo             7    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     68           68    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 All The Time 65 74 65 +9 5.0 -
2 Walton Hall 50 50 52 -2 0.0 -
3 Seattle Beat 63 55 63 -8 3.0 -
4 Mr Molony Line 68 67 68 -1 5.0
5 Justfortheepenny 56 65 63 +2 0.0 -
6 Sir Theodore 57 53 53 ✓ Match 5.0 -
7 Bugsy Malone 56 49 62 -13 0.0 -
8 El Dante 67 87 73 +14 0.0 -
9 Imperial Order 78 78 68 +10 5.0 -
10 Arrow's Mark 62 54 68 -14 0.0 -
11 Don Reposado 57 51 53 -2 5.0 -
12 Callmemrgreenlight 54 45 50 -5 5.0 -
99 Riccardo - 68 68 ✓ Match 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points