Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Follow My Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Twin Turbo 4 58.0 1 0.00 3.5 76 57 76 +0 2 King Of Rome 2 55.0 2 0.60 0.0 76 63 66 -10 3 Follow My Path 5 53.5 3 0.90 0.0 59 59 59 +0 4 Brenden James 6 58.5 4 2.00 0.0 70 68 68 -2 5 Global Breeze 2 54.0 5 3.00 0.0 74 58 64 -10 6 Wondering Star 3 57.5 6 3.75 7.0 68 50 58 -10 7 Fifth Of July 5 60.5 7 4.25 0.0 73 70 70 -3 8 Java House 4 52.0 8 4.75 3.5 53 45 45 -8 9 Tinder Dry 3 59.0 9 5.50 7.0 71 52 61 -10 10 Understated 5 53.0 10 8.00 0.0 58 54 54 -4 11 Flying Grace 4 61.0 11 9.25 3.5 74 63 64 -10 99 Pragmatist 5 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twin Turbo | 76 | 88 | 76 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | King Of Rome | 76 | 83 | 66 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Follow My Path Line | 59 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Brenden James | 70 | 98 | 68 | +30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Global Breeze | 74 | 75 | 64 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Wondering Star | 68 | 67 | 58 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fifth Of July | 73 | 63 | 70 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Java House | 53 | 52 | 45 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Tinder Dry | 71 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Understated | 58 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Flying Grace | 74 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pragmatist | - | 81 | 66 | +15 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points