Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 5 JANUARY 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Rattle Bag
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 In Cahoots 6 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 67 66 67 +0 2 Rattle Bag 6 59.5 2 4.25 0.0 65 65 65 +0 3 Skyfull 2 54.0 3 4.75 0.0 66 53 56 -10 4 Rose Willow 4 52.0 4 5.25 3.0 50 43 43 -7 5 Mix The Magic 3 55.0 5 5.30 6.0 56 43 46 -10 6 Pendragon 5 57.5 6 5.75 0.0 73 60 63 -10 7 Labrausco 2 49.5 7 6.00 0.0 59 44 49 -10 8 Gilda Gray 3 58.5 8 7.25 6.0 63 50 53 -10 9 Global Approach 4 56.5 9 19.00 3.0 59 52 52 -7 10 Song Of Angels 3 48.5 10 23.00 6.0 50 30 40 -10 11 Cross Examiner 3 59.0 11 35.00 6.0 64 51 54 -10 99 Risky Business 3 58.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 49 49 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | In Cahoots | 67 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rattle Bag Line | 65 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Skyfull | 66 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Rose Willow | 50 | 48 | 43 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mix The Magic | 56 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pendragon | 73 | 73 | 63 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Labrausco | 59 | 70 | 49 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gilda Gray | 63 | 64 | 53 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Global Approach | 59 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Song Of Angels | 50 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Cross Examiner | 64 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Risky Business | - | 75 | 49 | +26 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points