Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 6 JANUARY CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Aspiringtoreign
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Perfection 3 58.0 1 0.00 6.0 77 65 65 -12 2 Daleel 3 60.0 2 5.25 6.0 68 69 69 +1 3 Aspiringtoreign 3 56.0 3 7.50 6.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Last Storm 2 58.0 4 7.55 0.0 79 77 77 -2 5 My Boy Reecey 3 60.0 5 8.30 6.0 70 69 69 -1 6 Silver Stardust 4 58.0 6 8.55 3.0 64 71 71 +7 7 Tozzetti 3 58.0 7 8.60 6.0 67 65 65 -2 8 Light Without 4 54.5 8 8.85 3.0 57 64 64 +7 9 Global Beat 3 56.0 9 8.95 6.0 63 61 61 -2 10 Super Handsome 4 60.0 10 12.20 3.0 70 75 75 +5 11 Homer Fidget 4 60.0 11 13.45 3.0 71 75 75 +4 12 Dammi 2 56.0 12 15.70 0.0 75 73 73 -2 13 Royal Shindig 4 60.0 13 17.20 3.0 71 75 75 +4 14 Displace Time 3 56.0 14 18.45 6.0 62 61 61 -1 99 Flinders Range 3 56.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 61 61 +0 99 Humble Tune 4 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perfection | 77 | 103 | 65 | +38 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Daleel | 68 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Aspiringtoreign Line | 61 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Last Storm | 79 | 66 | 77 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | My Boy Reecey | 70 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Silver Stardust | 64 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tozzetti | 67 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Light Without | 57 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Global Beat | 63 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Super Handsome | 70 | 61 | 75 | -14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Homer Fidget | 71 | 55 | 75 | -20 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dammi | 75 | 55 | 73 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Royal Shindig | 71 | 62 | 75 | -13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 14 | Displace Time | 62 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Flinders Range | - | 71 | 61 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Humble Tune | - | 58 | 75 | -17 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points