Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 67 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Brandenburg
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sequoia 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 77 64 77 +0 2 Brandenburg 7 59.0 2 1.50 0.0 65 65 65 +0 3 The Appeal 6 60.0 3 1.90 0.0 67 67 67 +0 4 And We Danced 3 58.0 4 2.05 5.0 73 53 63 -10 5 Montana Sky 5 53.5 5 3.45 0.0 59 52 52 -7 6 Techno Savvy 4 59.0 6 4.55 2.5 65 57 57 -8 7 Crystal Cove 4 56.5 7 12.05 2.5 60 52 52 -8 99 Twice The Flight 5 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Cool Runnings 4 59.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 57 57 +0 99 Fort Wylie 4 55.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 49 49 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sequoia | 77 | 99 | 77 | +22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Brandenburg Line | 65 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | The Appeal | 67 | 74 | 67 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | And We Danced | 73 | 103 | 63 | +40 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Montana Sky | 59 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Techno Savvy | 65 | 62 | 57 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Crystal Cove | 60 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Twice The Flight | - | 64 | 62 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cool Runnings | - | 60 | 57 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Fort Wylie | - | 43 | 49 | -6 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points