Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: FLAMBOYANT STAKES (Grade 3) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Top Me Up Holly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Canadian Summer 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 104 95 95 -9 2 Dawnofanewday 3 60.0 2 2.10 5.0 92 94 94 +2 3 Top Me Up Holly 4 60.0 3 2.70 2.5 98 98 98 +0 4 Monashada 3 60.0 4 4.30 5.0 91 91 91 +0 5 Sound Of Warning 3 61.0 5 4.40 5.0 112 93 102 -10 6 Macara 4 60.0 6 4.50 2.5 95 96 96 +1 7 Wishful Girl Linn 5 60.0 7 5.90 0.0 94 101 101 +7 8 Hawker Typhoon 4 60.0 8 6.00 2.5 94 96 96 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canadian Summer | 104 | 106 | 95 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dawnofanewday | 92 | 107 | 94 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Top Me Up Holly Line | 98 | 98 | 98 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Monashada | 91 | 94 | 91 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sound Of Warning | 112 | 110 | 102 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Macara | 95 | 101 | 96 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Wishful Girl Linn | 94 | 85 | 101 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hawker Typhoon | 94 | 89 | 96 | -7 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points