Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK MR 79 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Lady Serena
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Camora 4 59.0 1 0.00 2.5 77 76 77 +0 2 Desolate Road 6 58.5 2 0.05 0.0 81 80 80 -1 3 Lady Serena 3 59.5 3 1.15 4.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Prince Vihaan 3 58.0 4 1.20 4.0 75 75 75 +0 5 Cavalieri 5 55.5 5 1.45 0.0 70 77 77 +7 6 Crested Eagle 3 55.5 6 1.85 4.0 70 69 69 -1 7 Maxiumus 4 60.0 7 3.05 2.5 79 80 80 +1 8 Wave Warrior 3 57.5 8 7.25 4.0 74 70 70 -4 9 Double Martini 4 55.0 9 8.85 2.5 74 68 68 -6 10 Mystery Boy 4 60.5 10 13.35 2.5 80 79 79 -1 99 El Dante 7 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Camora | 77 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Desolate Road | 81 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lady Serena Line | 78 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Prince Vihaan | 75 | 89 | 75 | +14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cavalieri | 70 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Crested Eagle | 70 | 51 | 69 | -18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Maxiumus | 79 | 88 | 80 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Wave Warrior | 74 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Double Martini | 74 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Mystery Boy | 80 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | El Dante | - | 87 | 71 | +16 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points