Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 69 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Morgan La Fay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Kingsmeads Krystl    3    59.5    1    0.00     5.0   68    72           68    +0
2    Hatta                4    50.5    2    0.40     6.0   55    52           52    -3
3    Morgan La Fay        2    61.5    3    1.60     3.5   79    79           79    +0
4    Meredith Grey        2    56.0    4    2.60     3.5   68    68           68    +0
5    Global Secret        3    57.0    5    3.10     5.0   63    67           67    +4
6    Harley's Fate        2    60.5    6    3.20     3.5   77    77           77    +0
7    Princess Santo       4    54.5    7    3.70     6.0   58    60           60    +2
8    Angelic Fort         3    59.0    8    6.20     5.0   67    71           71    +4
9    Stormz Power         3    58.5    9    6.60     5.0   73    70           70    -3
99   Aspoestertjie        5    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     81           81    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Kingsmeads Krystl 68 68 68 ✓ Match 5.0 -
2 Hatta 55 59 52 +7 6.0 -
3 Morgan La Fay Line 79 98 79 +19 3.5
4 Meredith Grey 68 68 68 ✓ Match 3.5 -
5 Global Secret 63 66 67 -1 5.0 -
6 Harley's Fate 77 67 77 -10 3.5 -
7 Princess Santo 58 50 60 -10 6.0 -
8 Angelic Fort 67 50 71 -21 5.0 -
9 Stormz Power 73 69 70 -1 5.0 -
99 Aspoestertjie - 68 81 -13 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points