Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 10 JANUARY FM 75 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Princess Ozma
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 United Council 5 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 76 76 76 +0 2 Paschals Samore 5 57.5 2 4.25 0.0 70 81 81 +11 3 Gimmealight 3 58.5 3 7.25 5.0 82 72 72 -10 4 Princess Ozma 2 60.0 4 7.50 0.0 85 85 85 +0 5 Fasinada 4 52.0 5 13.50 2.5 56 64 64 +8 6 Angelsea 3 52.0 6 13.60 5.0 59 59 59 +0 7 Wikkel Spikkel 3 57.5 7 15.25 5.0 70 70 70 +0 8 Quantum 5 56.5 8 18.25 0.0 78 78 78 +0 9 Time Is Ticking 3 56.0 9 19.50 5.0 67 67 67 +0 99 Risky Business 3 53.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United Council | 76 | 100 | 76 | +24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Paschals Samore | 70 | 62 | 81 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gimmealight | 82 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Princess Ozma Line | 85 | 66 | 85 | -19 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Fasinada | 56 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Angelsea | 59 | 64 | 59 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Wikkel Spikkel | 70 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Quantum | 78 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Time Is Ticking | 67 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Risky Business | - | 75 | 62 | +13 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points