Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: FOLLOW CAPE RACING ON SOCIAL MEDIA MR 92 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Countdown
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Transact             3    53.5    1    0.00     5.0   79    83           79    +0
2    Countdown            2    56.5    2    0.05     3.5   92    92           92    +0
2    Beerenberg           2    57.0    2    0.05     3.5   93    93           93    +0
4    Dance Variety        2    54.5    4    0.25     3.5   88    88           88    +0
5    Captain Bombshell    2    60.5    5    2.50     3.5   100   100          100   +0
6    Kalahari Ferrari     3    59.0    6    5.25     5.0   90    94           94    +4
7    Galactic Path        3    53.0    7    7.50     5.0   77    82           82    +5
8    Le Mans              2    56.0    8    9.75     3.5   91    91           91    +0
9    Shifting Path        2    53.5    9    10.05    3.5   86    86           86    +0
10   The Tinkerman        3    56.0    10   22.80    5.0   84    88           88    +4
99   Formagear            5    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     106          106   +0
99   Red Impact           2    53.0    99   0.00     3.5   -     85           85    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Transact 79 77 79 -2 5.0 -
2 Countdown Line 92 106 92 +14 3.5
2 Beerenberg 93 76 93 -17 3.5 -
4 Dance Variety 88 114 88 +26 3.5 -
5 Captain Bombshell 100 106 100 +6 3.5 -
6 Kalahari Ferrari 90 87 94 -7 5.0 -
7 Galactic Path 77 77 82 -5 5.0 -
8 Le Mans 91 74 91 -17 3.5 -
9 Shifting Path 86 62 86 -24 3.5 -
10 The Tinkerman 84 76 88 -12 5.0 -
99 Formagear - 108 106 +2 0.0 -
99 Red Impact - 85 85 ✓ Match 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points