Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Veronique
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Green Chilli 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 77 66 77 +0 2 Veronique 6 54.5 2 2.25 0.0 61 61 61 +0 3 Virginia Sweet 2 58.0 3 2.45 0.0 77 67 67 -10 4 Red Sash 5 60.0 4 2.65 0.0 81 71 71 -10 5 Call It Fate 3 58.0 5 5.65 4.0 68 57 58 -10 6 Jewlray 3 56.0 6 5.95 4.0 64 53 54 -10 7 Lucy The Pink 2 52.5 7 6.35 0.0 66 54 56 -10 8 Fur Baby 2 60.0 8 6.65 0.0 81 69 71 -10 9 Where's The Party 5 59.0 9 6.95 0.0 79 67 69 -10 10 Seeking Peace 3 53.0 10 7.00 4.0 58 47 48 -10 11 Double Dream 3 59.0 11 7.05 4.0 70 59 60 -10 12 Rafeef's Choice 5 59.0 12 8.80 0.0 79 67 69 -10 13 Alittlebitnaughty 4 59.0 13 10.30 2.5 70 62 62 -8 14 Thrilla 3 53.0 14 14.55 4.0 58 47 48 -10 99 Mulberry Street 3 58.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 58 58 +0 99 Enchanted Creek 5 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 59 59 +0 99 Priceless 3 59.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Umvoti 2 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Chilli | 77 | 85 | 77 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Veronique Line | 61 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Virginia Sweet | 77 | 92 | 67 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Red Sash | 81 | 101 | 71 | +30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Call It Fate | 68 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Jewlray | 64 | 53 | 54 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lucy The Pink | 66 | 63 | 56 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fur Baby | 81 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Where's The Party | 79 | 85 | 69 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Seeking Peace | 58 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Double Dream | 70 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Rafeef's Choice | 79 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Alittlebitnaughty | 70 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 14 | Thrilla | 58 | 53 | 48 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mulberry Street | - | 69 | 58 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Enchanted Creek | - | 60 | 59 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Priceless | - | 72 | 60 | +12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Umvoti | - | 63 | 62 | +1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points