Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Tabebuia
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Billy Bowlegs 5 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 96 91 96 +0 2 Eye Of The Prophet 2 55.0 2 0.15 0.0 90 85 85 -5 3 Tabebuia 3 56.0 3 1.25 6.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Elusive Swann 4 58.5 4 7.00 3.0 85 86 86 +1 5 The Brief 3 55.5 5 8.50 6.0 80 74 74 -6 6 Kentallen Bay 2 56.0 6 10.50 0.0 92 87 87 -5 7 Clarkson 4 58.0 7 12.25 3.0 84 85 85 +1 8 Stormy Winter 8 56.5 8 13.50 0.0 86 88 88 +2 9 Rule Book 6 56.0 9 14.25 0.0 81 87 87 +6 10 Kaptein 4 60.0 10 20.00 3.0 88 89 89 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Bowlegs | 96 | 104 | 96 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Eye Of The Prophet | 90 | 108 | 85 | +23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Tabebuia Line | 79 | 94 | 79 | +15 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Elusive Swann | 85 | 72 | 86 | -14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | The Brief | 80 | 90 | 74 | +16 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Kentallen Bay | 92 | 90 | 87 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Clarkson | 84 | 75 | 85 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Stormy Winter | 86 | 69 | 88 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rule Book | 81 | 92 | 87 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kaptein | 88 | 80 | 89 | -9 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points