Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Dunyaa (AUS)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dunyaa (AUS) 4 59.0 1 0.00 6.0 64 64 64 +0 2 Green Dream 5 59.0 2 3.70 0.0 64 76 76 +12 3 Royal Kitty 5 59.0 3 4.20 0.0 64 76 76 +12 4 Arctic Princess 5 59.0 4 4.25 0.0 64 76 76 +12 5 Kileigh's Fate 4 53.5 5 4.30 6.0 58 53 53 -5 6 Looking Hot 3 61.0 6 5.60 5.0 75 70 70 -5 7 Space Oddity 4 55.5 7 5.80 6.0 57 57 57 +0 8 Not Now Pussycat 6 55.0 8 5.90 0.0 59 68 68 +9 9 Sea Of Tranquility 3 57.5 9 8.50 5.0 68 63 63 -5 10 Casa Rosada 4 58.5 10 9.10 6.0 63 63 63 +0 11 Leopard Lady 4 56.5 11 11.40 6.0 59 59 59 +0 12 Moobheera 4 53.0 12 12.15 6.0 52 52 52 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunyaa (AUS) Line | 64 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 6.0 | ||
| 2 | Green Dream | 64 | 60 | 76 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Royal Kitty | 64 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Arctic Princess | 64 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kileigh's Fate | 58 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Looking Hot | 75 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Space Oddity | 57 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Not Now Pussycat | 59 | 53 | 68 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sea Of Tranquility | 68 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Casa Rosada | 63 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Leopard Lady | 59 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Moobheera | 52 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points