Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Top Sail
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 African Torrent 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 77 81 +0 2 Celestial City 4 59.5 2 0.75 3.0 73 78 78 +5 3 Top Sail 2 56.5 3 1.20 0.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Foreign Field 4 60.0 4 1.25 3.0 73 79 79 +6 5 Sequoia 6 59.5 5 2.50 0.0 73 82 82 +9 6 Chasing Mavericks 4 56.0 6 3.50 3.0 65 68 68 +3 7 Global Breeze 2 54.5 7 6.00 0.0 74 70 70 -4 8 Bally Magic 6 57.5 8 8.25 0.0 69 76 76 +7 9 Wondering Star 3 57.0 9 9.25 6.0 68 63 63 -5 99 Fifth Of July 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 99 Duke Of Rain 3 58.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | African Torrent | 81 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Celestial City | 73 | 92 | 78 | +14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Top Sail Line | 78 | 85 | 78 | +7 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Foreign Field | 73 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sequoia | 73 | 99 | 82 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Chasing Mavericks | 65 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Global Breeze | 74 | 75 | 70 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bally Magic | 69 | 60 | 76 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Wondering Star | 68 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fifth Of July | - | 63 | 81 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Duke Of Rain | - | 70 | 66 | +4 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points