Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 12 JANUARY CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 75 and below)
Line Horse
Laetitia's Angel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lollapalooza 3 56.5 1 0.00 5.0 68 71 71 +3 2 Laetitia's Angel 4 56.5 2 1.25 6.0 69 69 69 +0 3 Back To Basics 3 54.0 3 1.75 5.0 62 66 66 +4 4 Speechmaker 5 52.5 4 2.00 0.0 63 73 73 +10 5 Stormy Seas 4 58.0 5 2.25 6.0 71 72 72 +1 6 Coming In Hot 3 58.0 6 2.50 5.0 71 74 74 +3 7 Fog Bank 2 60.0 7 3.50 3.5 80 81 81 +1 8 Great Times 3 56.0 8 5.25 5.0 66 70 70 +4 9 Cool Winter 2 56.0 9 5.75 3.5 80 73 73 -7 10 Treaty 2 48.0 10 6.00 3.5 66 57 57 -9 11 Ready To Fly 2 56.5 11 8.00 3.5 78 74 74 -4 12 Lord Grantham 7 56.0 12 11.00 0.0 64 80 80 +16 99 Tara Iti 4 52.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 60 60 +0 99 English Primrose 3 50.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 59 59 +0 99 Big City Girl 4 50.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lollapalooza | 68 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Laetitia's Angel Line | 69 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Back To Basics | 62 | 72 | 66 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Speechmaker | 63 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Stormy Seas | 71 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Coming In Hot | 71 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fog Bank | 80 | 75 | 81 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Great Times | 66 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Cool Winter | 80 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Treaty | 66 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Ready To Fly | 78 | 62 | 74 | -12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Lord Grantham | 64 | 61 | 80 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tara Iti | - | 52 | 60 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | English Primrose | - | 58 | 59 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Big City Girl | - | 59 | 57 | +2 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points