Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 9 JANUARY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Dirty Martini
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 American Landing 7 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 67 73 67 +0 2 Guy Alexander 3 60.5 2 1.00 6.0 68 67 67 -1 3 Dirty Martini 4 54.5 3 4.75 3.0 55 55 55 +0 4 Tozzetti 3 60.0 4 5.25 6.0 67 60 60 -7 5 King Of Luv 4 54.5 5 6.00 3.0 54 55 55 +1 6 Jack And Ginger 4 61.0 6 7.25 3.0 68 68 68 +0 7 Music Box Special 3 55.0 7 7.35 6.0 57 50 50 -7 8 Osceola 2 59.5 8 7.40 0.0 77 71 71 -6 9 Colorama 6 52.5 9 8.90 0.0 51 57 57 +6 10 Global Gunner 2 54.5 10 9.65 0.0 67 61 61 -6 11 Essos 4 59.5 11 12.90 3.0 65 65 65 +0 12 Young Nelson 3 60.5 12 13.65 6.0 68 61 61 -7 13 Mingshi 4 52.0 13 22.90 3.0 50 50 50 +0 14 Fortune Of Gold 2 57.5 14 37.15 0.0 73 67 67 -6 99 Drengs Ferry 3 59.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Landing | 67 | 80 | 67 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Guy Alexander | 68 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dirty Martini Line | 55 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Tozzetti | 67 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | King Of Luv | 54 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Jack And Ginger | 68 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Music Box Special | 57 | 53 | 50 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Osceola | 77 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Colorama | 51 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Global Gunner | 67 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Essos | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Young Nelson | 68 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Mingshi | 50 | 56 | 50 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 14 | Fortune Of Gold | 73 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Drengs Ferry | - | 62 | 58 | +4 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points