Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: CARTIER SCEPTRE STAKES (Grade 2) (For Fillies & Mares at Weight For Age + penalties)

Line Horse
Time Fo Orchids
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Princess Calla       4    60.0    1    0.00     6.0   121   106          106   -15
2    Stiptelik (AUS)      3    58.0    2    0.75     5.0   107   104          104   -3
3    Desert Miracle       3    58.0    3    0.80     5.0   113   104          104   -9
4    Time Fo Orchids      5    54.5    4    1.80     0.0   107   107          107   +0
5    Live My Life         3    58.0    5    2.20     5.0   86    104          104   +18
6    Golden Hostess       2    54.5    6    2.30     3.5   108   100          100   -8
7    Whoa Whoa Whoa (AUS  3    58.0    7    2.60     5.0   101   104          104   +3
8    Going Up             3    58.0    8    3.85     5.0   100   104          104   +4
9    Kwinta's Light       3    58.5    9    3.95     5.0   105   105          105   +0
10   Gimme Dat            3    59.0    10   5.20     5.0   107   106          106   -1
11   Ciao Bella           2    55.5    11   5.50     3.5   110   102          102   -8
12   Miss Marguerite      5    54.5    12   7.75     0.0   92    107          107   +15
13   Kissing Point        3    58.0    13   7.80     5.0   102   104          104   +2
14   Santa Maria          3    58.0    14   8.00     5.0   106   104          104   -2
15   Sonic Burst          4    58.0    15   8.10     6.0   92    102          102   +10
16   Bevies Delight       5    54.5    16   8.15     0.0   104   107          107   +3
99   Happy Chance         2    54.5    99   0.00     3.5   -     100          100   +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Princess Calla 121 127 106 +21 6.0 -
2 Stiptelik (AUS) 107 104 104 ✓ Match 5.0 -
3 Desert Miracle 113 124 104 +20 5.0 -
4 Time Fo Orchids Line 107 109 107 +2 0.0
5 Live My Life 86 114 104 +10 5.0 -
6 Golden Hostess 108 112 100 +12 3.5 -
7 Whoa Whoa Whoa (AUS) 101 108 104 +4 5.0 -
8 Going Up 100 110 104 +6 5.0 -
9 Kwinta's Light 105 109 105 +4 5.0 -
10 Gimme Dat 107 107 106 +1 5.0 -
11 Ciao Bella 110 110 102 +8 3.5 -
12 Miss Marguerite 92 91 107 -16 0.0 -
13 Kissing Point 102 99 104 -5 5.0 -
14 Santa Maria 106 106 104 +2 5.0 -
15 Sonic Burst 92 81 102 -21 6.0 -
16 Bevies Delight 104 101 107 -6 0.0 -
99 Happy Chance - 118 100 +18 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points