Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: GLORIOUS GOODWOOD MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Blackberry Malt
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Future Swing 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 83 79 83 +0 2 Billy Spellbound 2 57.5 2 0.30 0.0 79 80 80 +1 3 Blackberry Malt 5 61.0 3 1.05 0.0 86 86 86 +0 4 Nevada King 2 60.0 4 1.45 0.0 84 83 83 -1 5 Future Turn 5 58.5 5 1.85 0.0 81 80 80 -1 6 Masterful Guy 3 53.0 6 2.60 5.0 59 58 58 -1 7 Captive Moon 6 56.5 7 3.10 0.0 67 75 75 +8 8 Winter Air 3 58.0 8 3.15 5.0 68 68 68 +0 9 Aus Bob 3 58.0 9 4.40 5.0 73 66 66 -7 10 Run For Cover 5 60.5 10 4.45 0.0 85 81 81 -4 11 Kapuziner 2 57.5 11 5.20 0.0 79 75 75 -4 12 Tizona 3 61.0 12 5.70 5.0 76 72 72 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Future Swing | 83 | 116 | 83 | +33 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Billy Spellbound | 79 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Blackberry Malt Line | 86 | 82 | 86 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Nevada King | 84 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Future Turn | 81 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Masterful Guy | 59 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Captive Moon | 67 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Winter Air | 68 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Aus Bob | 73 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Run For Cover | 85 | 70 | 81 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kapuziner | 79 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Tizona | 76 | 83 | 72 | +11 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points