Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Pelargonium
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Calulo               4    60.5    1    0.00     6.0   79    79           79    +0
2    Lady Heist           2    60.5    2    2.10     3.5   83    84           84    +1
3    Pelargonium          3    59.0    3    2.30     5.0   78    78           78    +0
4    Grue Of Ice          6    55.0    4    3.60     0.0   65    80           80    +15
5    Catch That Melody    2    61.5    5    4.30     3.5   85    86           86    +1
6    HereInAfter          4    60.5    6    4.55     6.0   76    79           79    +3
7    Will O Me            2    52.0    7    5.05     3.5   71    67           67    -4
99   Maquette             3    59.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     79           79    +0
99   Flying The Star      4    52.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     62           62    +0
99   Ride The Lightning   3    55.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     71           71    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Calulo 79 88 79 +9 6.0 -
2 Lady Heist 83 97 84 +13 3.5 -
3 Pelargonium Line 78 84 78 +6 5.0
4 Grue Of Ice 65 53 80 -27 0.0 -
5 Catch That Melody 85 83 86 -3 3.5 -
6 HereInAfter 76 72 79 -7 6.0 -
7 Will O Me 71 50 67 -17 3.5 -
99 Maquette - 91 79 +12 5.0 -
99 Flying The Star - 67 62 +5 6.0 -
99 Ride The Lightning - 61 71 -10 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points