Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Tiz Magic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tiz Magic 2 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 75 75 75 +0 2 Mighty Goddess 2 60.0 2 2.25 3.5 79 75 75 -4 3 Happy Vibes 3 60.0 3 2.30 5.0 - 72 72 +72 4 Silk Garden 3 60.0 4 2.50 5.0 61 72 72 +11 5 Ghost Ship 3 58.5 5 2.55 5.0 - 69 69 +69 6 Tsitsikamma Pearl 3 57.5 6 2.75 5.0 64 67 67 +3 7 Radu 5 56.0 7 2.80 0.0 - 74 74 +74 8 Picara 3 60.0 8 6.00 5.0 64 72 72 +8 9 Queen's Navy 3 60.0 9 10.00 5.0 57 72 72 +15 10 Adrenaline Rush 2 60.0 10 13.00 3.5 61 75 75 +14 11 Che Ballerina 2 60.0 11 26.00 3.5 42 75 75 +33 99 Absolute Pleasure 2 60.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 75 75 +0 99 Camerata 2 60.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tiz Magic Line | 75 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 3.5 | ||
| 2 | Mighty Goddess | 79 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Happy Vibes | - | 59 | 72 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Silk Garden | 61 | 56 | 72 | -16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ghost Ship | - | 68 | 69 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tsitsikamma Pearl | 64 | 59 | 67 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Radu | - | 64 | 74 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Picara | 64 | 64 | 72 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Queen's Navy | 57 | 50 | 72 | -22 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Adrenaline Rush | 61 | 45 | 75 | -30 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Che Ballerina | 42 | 32 | 75 | -43 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Absolute Pleasure | - | 69 | 75 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Camerata | - | 49 | 75 | -26 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points