Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Fiery Duke
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Capetown Affair      5    54.5    1    0.00     0.0   57    67           57    +0
2    Son Of Silk          4    58.5    2    1.00     2.5   65    74           74    +9
3    Quiz Master          3    56.0    3    1.05     4.0   59    66           66    +7
4    Fiery Duke           3    53.5    4    1.80     4.0   60    60           60    +0
5    Giambattista         3    60.0    5    2.55     4.0   68    72           72    +4
6    Action Stations      2    54.5    6    3.25     0.0   71    69           69    -2
7    Fever                5    56.0    7    4.15     0.0   60    71           71    +11
8    Don Reposado         3    53.5    8    4.55     4.0   55    57           57    +2
9    Lou Lou The Legend   3    57.5    9    4.95     4.0   72    65           65    -7
10   Lord Edward          2    57.5    10   5.35     0.0   75    73           73    -2
11   Sir Theodore         3    54.5    11   8.45     4.0   57    59           59    +2
12   Pedro                6    56.0    12   9.25     0.0   60    70           70    +10
99   Cavalieri            5    61.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     80           80    +0
99   Joshua Hotsnake      3    60.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     71           71    +0
99   Brave Voyager        3    52.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     55           55    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Capetown Affair 57 59 57 +2 0.0 -
2 Son Of Silk 65 65 74 -9 2.5 -
3 Quiz Master 59 60 66 -6 4.0 -
4 Fiery Duke Line 60 72 60 +12 4.0
5 Giambattista 68 87 72 +15 4.0 -
6 Action Stations 71 71 69 +2 0.0 -
7 Fever 60 52 71 -19 0.0 -
8 Don Reposado 55 51 57 -6 4.0 -
9 Lou Lou The Legend 72 59 65 -6 4.0 -
10 Lord Edward 75 52 73 -21 0.0 -
11 Sir Theodore 57 53 59 -6 4.0 -
12 Pedro 60 72 70 +2 0.0 -
99 Cavalieri - 73 80 -7 0.0 -
99 Joshua Hotsnake - 67 71 -4 4.0 -
99 Brave Voyager - 51 55 -4 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points