Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING WORK RIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden (F&M) R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Magenta
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fluid Motion 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 50 57 56 +6 2 Magenta 4 60.0 2 2.00 6.0 55 55 55 +0 3 Antonia Augusta 2 60.0 3 4.25 3.5 49 60 60 +11 4 Little Miss Kj 2 60.0 4 4.50 3.5 58 60 60 +2 5 Wonder Woman 6 60.0 5 5.50 0.0 45 67 67 +22 6 Tide Is High 3 60.0 6 6.75 5.0 65 57 57 -8 7 Miss United States 3 60.0 7 8.00 5.0 42 57 57 +15 8 Sundrop 6 60.0 8 8.50 0.0 50 67 67 +17 9 Girl Scout 3 60.0 9 13.25 5.0 57 57 57 +0 10 Glitterfox 2 60.0 10 13.35 3.5 59 60 60 +1 11 Montana Nymph 2 60.0 11 15.60 3.5 61 60 60 -1 12 Spring Fever 2 60.0 12 17.35 3.5 64 60 60 -4 13 Nairobi 3 60.0 13 17.85 5.0 64 57 57 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluid Motion | 50 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Magenta Line | 55 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Antonia Augusta | 49 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Little Miss Kj | 58 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Wonder Woman | 45 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tide Is High | 65 | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Miss United States | 42 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sundrop | 50 | 48 | 67 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Girl Scout | 57 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Glitterfox | 59 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Montana Nymph | 61 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Spring Fever | 64 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Nairobi | 64 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points