Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: CAPE RACING SALES MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS (F & M) (For all Maiden Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Supreme Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Busy Lizzie 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 80 80 +6 2 Supreme Dream 3 58.5 2 0.75 5.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Mary Lamb 3 56.5 3 1.05 5.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Short Sharp Shock 3 52.5 4 3.30 5.0 50 61 61 +11 5 Medlers Tart 2 56.0 5 3.50 0.0 71 78 78 +7 6 Look Forward 3 50.0 6 4.25 5.0 53 56 56 +3 7 Estimated 3 59.0 7 4.55 5.0 - 73 73 +73 8 Namibian Queen 3 50.5 8 5.80 5.0 51 56 56 +5 9 Fields Of Green 2 57.5 9 6.20 0.0 74 80 80 +6 10 Tuscany 2 56.0 10 6.95 0.0 71 77 77 +6 11 Typeface 2 60.0 11 7.05 0.0 79 85 85 +6 12 Global Songstress 2 57.0 12 9.80 0.0 73 79 79 +6 99 Youcrackmeup 3 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busy Lizzie | 74 | 66 | 80 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Supreme Dream Line | 76 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Mary Lamb | 72 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Short Sharp Shock | 50 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Medlers Tart | 71 | 92 | 78 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Look Forward | 53 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Estimated | - | 70 | 73 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Namibian Queen | 51 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Fields Of Green | 74 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tuscany | 71 | 53 | 77 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Typeface | 79 | 78 | 85 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Global Songstress | 73 | 72 | 79 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Youcrackmeup | - | 59 | 75 | -16 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points