Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 22 JANUARY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Feather The Nest
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 King Of Venus 4 57.0 1 0.00 6.0 68 60 68 +0 2 Feather The Nest 4 56.0 2 2.25 6.0 58 58 58 +0 3 Power Ranger 7 56.5 3 3.00 0.0 59 71 71 +12 4 Big City Girl 4 55.0 4 4.00 6.0 55 56 56 +1 5 Twice As Wild 6 55.0 5 6.25 0.0 56 68 68 +12 6 Dark Tide 5 54.0 6 7.35 0.0 59 66 66 +7 7 What A Tiger 5 57.5 7 8.35 0.0 68 73 73 +5 8 Back To Basics 3 58.0 8 8.60 5.0 62 64 64 +2 9 Jet Cat 9 58.5 9 9.50 0.0 63 75 75 +12 10 Scottadito 3 58.0 10 10.00 5.0 62 64 64 +2 11 Giancarlo 2 52.0 11 10.50 3.5 54 55 55 +1 12 Bridge Of Spies 6 52.5 12 12.00 0.0 51 63 63 +12 13 Lady Sanza 3 59.5 13 12.75 5.0 65 67 67 +2 14 Timbavati River 3 59.0 14 13.00 5.0 64 66 66 +2 15 West Coast Lover 4 59.5 15 15.50 6.0 65 65 65 +0 16 Black Burner 3 59.5 16 34.00 5.0 65 67 67 +2 99 Freedom Dancer 4 52.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 50 50 +0 99 Written In Stone 9 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Of Venus | 68 | 87 | 68 | +19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Feather The Nest Line | 58 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Power Ranger | 59 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Big City Girl | 55 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twice As Wild | 56 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dark Tide | 59 | 53 | 66 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | What A Tiger | 68 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Back To Basics | 62 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Jet Cat | 63 | 60 | 75 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Scottadito | 62 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Giancarlo | 54 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Bridge Of Spies | 51 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Lady Sanza | 65 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Timbavati River | 64 | 79 | 66 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | West Coast Lover | 65 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 16 | Black Burner | 65 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Freedom Dancer | - | 40 | 50 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Written In Stone | - | 67 | 76 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points