Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Guiseppi's Song
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Straight Up 5 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 75 76 75 +0 2 Guiseppi's Song 4 52.5 2 1.70 3.0 59 59 59 +0 3 Vihaan's Grey 2 55.0 3 1.90 0.0 76 70 70 -6 4 Exceeder 4 61.0 4 3.20 3.0 76 74 74 -2 5 Fever 5 53.0 5 4.10 0.0 60 63 63 +3 6 Cherokee Trail 2 53.5 6 6.60 0.0 78 62 68 -10 7 Lucretius 6 54.5 7 9.50 0.0 69 64 64 -5 8 American Dream 3 55.5 8 9.90 6.0 66 54 56 -10 9 Question Master 2 54.5 9 10.60 0.0 75 64 65 -10 10 Immeasurable 5 60.5 10 11.90 0.0 75 76 76 +1 11 Tin Cup 3 58.5 11 13.10 6.0 72 60 62 -10 12 Have A Go Jo 4 61.0 12 15.30 3.0 76 71 71 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Straight Up | 75 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Guiseppi's Song Line | 59 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Vihaan's Grey | 76 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Exceeder | 76 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Fever | 60 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cherokee Trail | 78 | 86 | 68 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lucretius | 69 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | American Dream | 66 | 81 | 56 | +25 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Question Master | 75 | 70 | 65 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Immeasurable | 75 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Tin Cup | 72 | 74 | 62 | +12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Have A Go Jo | 76 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points