Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WSB CAPE TOWN MET ON THE 28TH JANUARY MR 108 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Safe Return
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Countdown 2 52.0 1 0.00 3.5 92 95 92 +0 2 Bereave 4 59.0 2 0.40 6.0 106 104 104 -2 3 Safe Return 3 56.5 3 1.15 5.0 101 101 101 +0 4 Captain Bombshell 2 52.5 4 1.20 3.5 100 96 96 -4 5 Sun Dazed 6 52.0 5 2.45 0.0 92 102 102 +10 6 Barzalona 6 56.0 6 3.20 0.0 100 110 110 +10 7 Mufasa 6 53.0 7 5.45 0.0 94 104 104 +10 8 Rockin' Ringo 6 60.0 8 7.20 0.0 108 118 118 +10 9 Formagear 5 52.0 9 7.25 0.0 99 102 102 +3 10 Street Outlaw 5 52.0 10 7.30 0.0 99 102 102 +3 11 Tread Swiftly 4 58.5 11 10.80 6.0 105 103 103 -2 99 Irish Morning 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 110 110 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Countdown | 92 | 106 | 92 | +14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Bereave | 106 | 111 | 104 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Safe Return Line | 101 | 83 | 101 | -18 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Captain Bombshell | 100 | 106 | 96 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Sun Dazed | 92 | 64 | 102 | -38 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Barzalona | 100 | 66 | 110 | -44 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mufasa | 94 | 98 | 104 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rockin' Ringo | 108 | 107 | 118 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Formagear | 99 | 108 | 102 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Street Outlaw | 99 | 78 | 102 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Tread Swiftly | 105 | 90 | 103 | -13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Irish Morning | - | 100 | 110 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points