Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: WSB CAPE TOWN MET ON THE 28TH JANUARY MR 108 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Safe Return
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Countdown            2    52.0    1    0.00     3.5   92    95           92    +0
2    Bereave              4    59.0    2    0.40     6.0   106   104          104   -2
3    Safe Return          3    56.5    3    1.15     5.0   101   101          101   +0
4    Captain Bombshell    2    52.5    4    1.20     3.5   100   96           96    -4
5    Sun Dazed            6    52.0    5    2.45     0.0   92    102          102   +10
6    Barzalona            6    56.0    6    3.20     0.0   100   110          110   +10
7    Mufasa               6    53.0    7    5.45     0.0   94    104          104   +10
8    Rockin' Ringo        6    60.0    8    7.20     0.0   108   118          118   +10
9    Formagear            5    52.0    9    7.25     0.0   99    102          102   +3
10   Street Outlaw        5    52.0    10   7.30     0.0   99    102          102   +3
11   Tread Swiftly        4    58.5    11   10.80    6.0   105   103          103   -2
99   Irish Morning        5    56.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     110          110   +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Countdown 92 106 92 +14 3.5 -
2 Bereave 106 111 104 +7 6.0 -
3 Safe Return Line 101 83 101 -18 5.0
4 Captain Bombshell 100 106 96 +10 3.5 -
5 Sun Dazed 92 64 102 -38 0.0 -
6 Barzalona 100 66 110 -44 0.0 -
7 Mufasa 94 98 104 -6 0.0 -
8 Rockin' Ringo 108 107 118 -11 0.0 -
9 Formagear 99 108 102 +6 0.0 -
10 Street Outlaw 99 78 102 -24 0.0 -
11 Tread Swiftly 105 90 103 -13 6.0 -
99 Irish Morning - 100 110 -10 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points