Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses 3-yrs and older)
Line Horse
Machete Man
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sudden Song 3 59.0 1 0.00 6.0 71 68 68 -3 2 Mucho Dinero 2 61.0 2 0.50 0.0 87 89 89 +2 3 Cosmic Event 5 61.0 3 0.70 0.0 86 89 89 +3 4 Machete Man 2 57.0 4 2.95 0.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Elegant Noble 3 57.0 5 3.70 6.0 79 65 69 -10 6 Coronation Time 2 59.0 6 4.45 0.0 80 80 80 +0 7 Legal Chitchat 3 55.0 7 5.70 6.0 74 60 64 -10 8 Professor Snape 2 61.0 8 6.95 0.0 84 84 84 +0 9 Nothingelsematters 5 55.0 9 8.20 0.0 75 72 72 -3 10 Over Two You 3 61.0 10 9.70 6.0 76 72 72 -4 11 Piketberg Alley 4 61.0 11 12.95 3.0 73 78 78 +5 12 Major Winter 5 50.0 12 15.20 0.0 49 62 62 +13 13 Ready Or Not 2 59.0 13 25.45 0.0 83 80 80 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudden Song | 71 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mucho Dinero | 87 | 115 | 89 | +26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Cosmic Event | 86 | 70 | 89 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Machete Man Line | 78 | 90 | 78 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Elegant Noble | 79 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Coronation Time | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Legal Chitchat | 74 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Professor Snape | 84 | 68 | 84 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Nothingelsematters | 75 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Over Two You | 76 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Piketberg Alley | 73 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Major Winter | 49 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Ready Or Not | 83 | 79 | 80 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points