Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: BOOK A TABLE 011-681-1769 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)

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Line Horse
Spring Will Come
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    National Star        2    53.5    1    0.00     0.0   78    58           58    -20
2    Breeze Over          5    59.0    2    1.40     0.0   -     72           72    +72
3    Spring Will Come     3    60.0    3    1.80     5.0   64    64           64    +0
4    Bronze Sword         3    59.0    4    3.75     5.0   68    60           60    -8
5    Camlicourt           2    59.0    5    7.25     0.0   69    69           69    +0
6    Broadway             4    60.0    6    7.40     2.5   62    66           66    +4
7    Wild Forever         3    56.0    7    7.50     5.0   -     53           53    +53
8    Skyjet               2    59.0    8    8.00     0.0   69    69           69    +0
9    Ballycotton          2    56.0    9    10.25    0.0   57    63           63    +6
10   Wolfram              3    59.0    10   24.00    5.0   55    59           59    +4
11   Fantastic Impact (A  4    57.5    11   29.00    2.5   52    61           61    +9
99   Circus Lights        5    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     69           69    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 National Star 78 75 58 +17 0.0 -
2 Breeze Over - 99 72 +27 0.0 -
3 Spring Will Come Line 64 72 64 +8 5.0
4 Bronze Sword 68 66 60 +6 5.0 -
5 Camlicourt 69 66 69 -3 0.0 -
6 Broadway 62 59 66 -7 2.5 -
7 Wild Forever - 70 53 +17 5.0 -
8 Skyjet 69 57 69 -12 0.0 -
9 Ballycotton 57 53 63 -10 0.0 -
10 Wolfram 55 59 59 ✓ Match 5.0 -
11 Fantastic Impact (AUS) 52 47 61 -14 2.5 -
99 Circus Lights - 64 69 -5 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points