Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 77 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Puff Of Smoke
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Acacia's Blossom     2    61.5    1    0.00     3.5   87    83           87    +0
2    Lady Heist           2    59.5    2    0.40     3.5   83    79           79    -4
3    Puff Of Smoke        3    54.5    3    1.20     5.0   66    66           66    +0
4    Morgan La Fay        2    57.5    4    1.95     3.5   79    75           75    -4
5    Harley's Fate        2    55.0    5    4.05     3.5   74    70           70    -4
6    Noble Storm          3    55.5    6    4.15     5.0   71    68           68    -3
7    Drive By             6    57.5    7    4.45     0.0   72    82           82    +10
8    Retail Therapy       5    58.0    8    5.65     0.0   73    83           83    +10
9    Fortune Bay          3    55.5    9    6.95     5.0   75    68           68    -7
10   Sting Ray            3    60.0    10   7.00     5.0   77    77           77    +0
11   Dunyaa (AUS)         4    57.0    11   9.60     6.0   71    69           69    -2
12   Top Honours          4    49.5    12   12.00    6.0   48    54           54    +6
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Acacia's Blossom 87 66 87 -21 3.5 -
2 Lady Heist 83 97 79 +18 3.5 -
3 Puff Of Smoke Line 66 51 66 -15 5.0
4 Morgan La Fay 79 98 75 +23 3.5 -
5 Harley's Fate 74 67 70 -3 3.5 -
6 Noble Storm 71 78 68 +10 5.0 -
7 Drive By 72 68 82 -14 0.0 -
8 Retail Therapy 73 70 83 -13 0.0 -
9 Fortune Bay 75 62 68 -6 5.0 -
10 Sting Ray 77 73 77 -4 5.0 -
11 Dunyaa (AUS) 71 71 69 +2 6.0 -
12 Top Honours 48 45 54 -9 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points