Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bethel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 20
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 20
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 20
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Toureiro 5 52.5 1 0.00 0.0 57 57 57 +0 2 On The Road Again 3 60.5 2 0.75 5.0 73 63 63 -10 3 Bethel 6 58.0 3 1.25 0.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Joyous Jubilee (AUS 2 55.5 4 1.50 3.5 70 56 60 -10 5 El Romiachi 8 58.5 5 2.75 0.0 72 69 69 -3 6 Burning Wings 4 60.5 6 3.25 6.0 73 61 63 -10 7 Sanctity 4 55.0 7 3.50 6.0 62 50 52 -10 8 Soweto Rose 3 59.0 8 3.60 5.0 70 60 60 -10 9 Great Melody 3 56.0 9 4.35 5.0 64 54 54 -10 10 Lemme Go 3 53.0 10 4.45 5.0 57 48 48 -9 10 Raisetheredlantern 4 56.0 10 4.45 6.0 64 52 54 -10 12 Mr Bodacious 2 56.5 12 5.20 3.5 72 58 62 -10 13 Absolu Noir 8 57.5 13 7.45 0.0 66 67 67 +1 14 Modern Magician 3 59.5 14 7.55 5.0 71 61 61 -10 15 Flying Peter 4 59.5 15 11.80 6.0 71 59 61 -10 16 Psychedelic Eric 3 55.0 16 12.80 5.0 61 52 52 -9 17 Emerald Flame 5 54.0 17 23.30 0.0 60 60 60 +0 99 Roger The Dodger 5 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 57 57 +0 99 Potente 2 53.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 52 52 +0 99 My Ami Beach 6 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toureiro | 57 | 66 | 57 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | On The Road Again | 73 | 79 | 63 | +16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bethel Line | 68 | 76 | 68 | +8 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Joyous Jubilee (AUS) | 70 | 61 | 60 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | El Romiachi | 72 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Burning Wings | 73 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sanctity | 62 | 61 | 52 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Soweto Rose | 70 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Great Melody | 64 | 79 | 54 | +25 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lemme Go | 57 | 54 | 48 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Raisetheredlantern | 64 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mr Bodacious | 72 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Absolu Noir | 66 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Modern Magician | 71 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | Flying Peter | 71 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 16 | Psychedelic Eric | 61 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 17 | Emerald Flame | 60 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Roger The Dodger | - | 51 | 57 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Potente | - | 60 | 52 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | My Ami Beach | - | 70 | 68 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points