Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 03 FEBRUARY FM 64 HANDICAP (F & M) (Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Maiden's Cove
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 DutchessBurnedette 4 57.0 1 0.00 2.5 58 61 58 +0 2 Everglades 3 58.5 2 1.50 5.0 61 62 62 +1 3 Wintertime 5 52.0 3 1.75 0.0 45 59 59 +14 4 Maiden's Cove 3 58.0 4 3.00 5.0 60 60 60 +0 5 Angel Of Justice 3 60.5 5 4.25 5.0 65 64 64 -1 6 Hey Siri 2 58.0 6 4.75 0.0 70 68 68 -2 7 Lily Of Orange 3 54.0 7 4.85 5.0 52 50 50 -2 8 Name Of The Game 3 58.5 8 7.10 5.0 61 59 59 -2 9 Ana In Seattle 3 58.5 9 7.15 5.0 71 59 61 -10 10 Different Drum 3 53.0 10 7.65 5.0 50 48 48 -2 11 Divine Dynasty 3 59.0 11 9.15 5.0 62 60 60 -2 12 Panzanella 3 60.5 12 9.25 5.0 65 63 63 -2 13 Tartan Dancer 5 54.0 13 10.00 0.0 52 60 60 +8 14 Aimee's Idol 3 57.0 14 12.00 5.0 68 56 58 -10 15 Open Secret 2 57.5 15 15.25 0.0 69 67 67 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DutchessBurnedette | 58 | 64 | 58 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Everglades | 61 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Wintertime | 45 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Maiden's Cove Line | 60 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Angel Of Justice | 65 | 57 | 64 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Hey Siri | 70 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lily Of Orange | 52 | 55 | 50 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Name Of The Game | 61 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ana In Seattle | 71 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Different Drum | 50 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Divine Dynasty | 62 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Panzanella | 65 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Tartan Dancer | 52 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Aimee's Idol | 68 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | Open Secret | 69 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points