Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: CITY OF CAPE TOWN SUMMER JUVENILE STAKES (Listed) (2 yo R100 000 Win Bonus. Leg 2 Sum Juv Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
16 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rascova 2 57.5 1 0.00 3.5 - - - +0 2 Distant Winter 2 54.5 2 1.25 3.5 - - - +0 3 Golden Tatjana 4 57.5 3 1.75 6.0 - - - +0 4 Golden Sickle 4 57.5 4 3.25 6.0 - - - +0 5 Royals 2 54.5 5 3.55 3.5 - - - +0 6 Noon Day Gun 4 57.0 6 3.95 6.0 - - - +0 7 Woman's World 4 54.5 7 4.25 6.0 - - - +0 8 Lily Of The Nile 2 54.5 8 4.75 3.5 - - - +0 9 The Abdicator (IRE) 4 60.0 9 4.80 6.0 - - - +0 10 Kupholiwe 2 57.0 10 5.20 3.5 - - - +0 11 Streetshavenoname 2 57.0 11 6.95 3.5 - - - +0 12 First Origin 2 60.0 12 8.20 3.5 - - - +0 13 De Janeiro 2 54.5 13 8.50 3.5 - - - +0 14 William West 2 57.0 14 10.00 3.5 - - - +0 15 Bohemian Grove 2 57.0 15 11.75 3.5 - - - +0 16 Dumbledore 4 60.0 16 13.25 6.0 - - - +0 99 Seven Dogs 2 57.0 99 0.00 3.5 - - - +0 99 Swiss Walt 4 57.0 99 0.00 6.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rascova | - | 122 | - | +122 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Distant Winter | - | 106 | - | +106 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Golden Tatjana | - | 67 | - | +67 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Golden Sickle | - | 121 | - | +121 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Royals | - | 94 | - | +94 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Noon Day Gun | - | 66 | - | +66 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Woman's World | - | 94 | - | +94 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lily Of The Nile | - | 67 | - | +67 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | The Abdicator (IRE) | - | 94 | - | +94 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kupholiwe | - | 94 | - | +94 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Streetshavenoname | - | 70 | - | +70 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | First Origin | - | 91 | - | +91 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | De Janeiro | - | 54 | - | +54 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | William West | - | 51 | - | +51 | 3.5 | - | |
| 15 | Bohemian Grove | - | 70 | - | +70 | 3.5 | - | |
| 16 | Dumbledore | - | 105 | - | +105 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Seven Dogs | - | 55 | - | - | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Swiss Walt | - | 74 | - | - | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points