Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Bell Jar
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Que For You          5    55.5    1    0.00     0.0   58    59           58    +0
2    Mel's Princess       3    58.0    2    0.50     6.0   70    57           60    -10
3    Top Ten              4    53.5    3    1.60     3.0   55    52           52    -3
4    Bell Jar             7    58.5    4    1.85     0.0   68    68           68    +0
5    Miss Lialah          4    54.0    5    2.05     3.0   56    53           53    -3
6    Shell Seeker         3    57.0    6    2.35     6.0   63    52           53    -10
7    Roy's Rocker         3    52.5    7    3.55     6.0   53    42           43    -10
8    Lucia Poppova        3    54.0    8    3.60     6.0   68    45           58    -10
9    Iron Chef            4    56.5    9    6.30     3.0   61    55           55    -6
10   Mode                 4    52.0    10   11.80    3.0   49    46           46    -3
99   Chelsea Flower       6    59.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     67           67    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Que For You 58 67 58 +9 0.0 -
2 Mel's Princess 70 77 60 +17 6.0 -
3 Top Ten 55 50 52 -2 3.0 -
4 Bell Jar Line 68 68 68 ✓ Match 0.0
5 Miss Lialah 56 65 53 +12 3.0 -
6 Shell Seeker 63 62 53 +9 6.0 -
7 Roy's Rocker 53 53 43 +10 6.0 -
8 Lucia Poppova 68 62 58 +4 6.0 -
9 Iron Chef 61 52 55 -3 3.0 -
10 Mode 49 49 46 +3 3.0 -
99 Chelsea Flower - 77 67 +10 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points