Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: #DestinationCapeRacing MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Masterful Guy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Thunder Master 6 61.0 1 0.00 0.0 76 82 76 +0 2 Montien 3 60.0 2 1.25 5.0 84 74 74 -10 3 Masterful Guy 3 52.0 3 1.75 5.0 57 57 57 +0 4 Doubling Up 2 57.5 4 4.00 0.0 79 76 76 -3 5 Prevalence 3 62.0 5 4.75 5.0 88 74 78 -10 6 Captive Moon 6 55.5 6 5.50 0.0 65 71 71 +6 7 Piketberg Alley 4 58.5 7 8.50 2.5 71 72 72 +1 99 Ponte Pietra 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 99 Mister Monocle 4 56.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder Master | 76 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Montien | 84 | 122 | 74 | +48 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Masterful Guy Line | 57 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Doubling Up | 79 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Prevalence | 88 | 83 | 78 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Captive Moon | 65 | 75 | 71 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Piketberg Alley | 71 | 63 | 72 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ponte Pietra | - | 102 | 77 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mister Monocle | - | 71 | 67 | +4 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points