Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MIDDLE STAKES (F & M) (For F & M 3-years and older with a nett rating of 95 & below)
Line Horse
Everlasting
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Distinction 2 56.0 1 0.00 3.5 90 90 90 +0 2 Hunting Trip 2 56.0 2 0.50 3.5 89 90 90 +1 3 Everlasting 2 50.0 3 1.00 3.5 78 78 78 +0 4 Winter Furi 4 58.0 4 1.50 6.0 84 89 89 +5 5 What A State 3 52.0 5 2.75 5.0 75 79 79 +4 6 Louis' Diamond 3 54.0 6 4.50 5.0 77 83 83 +6 7 Porque Te Vas 5 52.0 7 4.80 0.0 79 89 89 +10 8 Palo Queen 5 52.0 8 4.90 0.0 79 89 89 +10 9 Ancient Epic 3 60.0 9 5.20 5.0 90 95 95 +5 10 Country Time 5 54.0 10 6.20 0.0 83 93 93 +10 11 Ma Black 4 54.0 11 7.45 6.0 79 81 81 +2 12 Baubles And Beads 2 52.0 12 7.65 3.5 79 82 82 +3 13 Different Face (GB) 4 56.0 13 10.90 6.0 80 85 85 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Distinction | 90 | 97 | 90 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Hunting Trip | 89 | 96 | 90 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Everlasting Line | 78 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Winter Furi | 84 | 87 | 89 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | What A State | 75 | 82 | 79 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Louis' Diamond | 77 | 58 | 83 | -25 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Porque Te Vas | 79 | 78 | 89 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Palo Queen | 79 | 70 | 89 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ancient Epic | 90 | 88 | 95 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Country Time | 83 | 62 | 93 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Ma Black | 79 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Baubles And Beads | 79 | 72 | 82 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Different Face (GB) | 80 | 76 | 85 | -9 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points