Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Grue Of Ice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    There She Goes       6    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   67    67           67    +0
2    Kitten's Adventure   3    56.0    2    2.00     4.5   62    53           53    -9
3    Cinnamon Blush       3    57.5    3    2.40     4.5   65    56           56    -9
4    Grue Of Ice          6    56.5    4    3.30     0.0   63    63           63    +0
5    Aspoestertjie        5    59.0    5    3.90     0.0   74    68           68    -6
6    Shona Kirsty Yves    3    60.0    6    3.95     4.5   76    61           66    -10
7    Miss Gibson          3    52.0    7    4.65     4.5   57    45           47    -10
8    Che Vincera          2    59.5    8    4.70     3.0   75    63           65    -10
9    Triptoroyalty        2    56.0    9    5.10     3.0   71    56           61    -10
10   Tabatha Cat          2    58.0    10   7.00     3.0   72    60           62    -10
11   Troubadix            3    51.5    11   8.90     4.5   58    44           48    -10
12   Spirited Flight      5    60.0    12   9.40     0.0   76    70           70    -6
13   Belle Rouge          3    58.0    13   9.80     4.5   66    57           57    -9
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 There She Goes 67 77 67 +10 0.0 -
2 Kitten's Adventure 62 58 53 +5 4.5 -
3 Cinnamon Blush 65 66 56 +10 4.5 -
4 Grue Of Ice Line 63 53 63 -10 0.0
5 Aspoestertjie 74 68 68 ✓ Match 0.0 -
6 Shona Kirsty Yves 76 60 66 -6 4.5 -
7 Miss Gibson 57 56 47 +9 4.5 -
8 Che Vincera 75 55 65 -10 3.0 -
9 Triptoroyalty 71 56 61 -5 3.0 -
10 Tabatha Cat 72 50 62 -12 3.0 -
11 Troubadix 58 49 48 +1 4.5 -
12 Spirited Flight 76 61 70 -9 0.0 -
13 Belle Rouge 66 58 57 +1 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points