Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 22 JANUARY MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Twin Turbo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Zeus 3 55.5 1 0.00 6.0 87 69 87 +0 2 My Master 3 54.0 2 3.25 6.0 84 68 74 -10 3 Twin Turbo 4 59.5 3 4.25 3.0 84 84 84 +0 4 Juan Carlos 7 58.5 4 4.50 0.0 82 87 87 +5 5 Time Spirit 4 53.0 5 5.50 3.0 71 70 70 -1 6 Category Four 6 58.5 6 6.25 0.0 81 87 87 +6 7 FSquadron 4 55.0 7 9.50 3.0 75 74 74 -1 8 Secret Link 3 48.0 8 9.75 6.0 80 54 70 -10 9 Romeo's Magic 7 57.5 9 10.50 0.0 80 85 85 +5 10 Zuzan 3 56.5 10 11.75 6.0 89 71 79 -10 11 Ideal Jet 4 61.5 11 12.00 3.0 88 87 87 -1 12 Eskimo Pie 4 61.5 12 17.25 3.0 88 87 87 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zeus | 87 | 117 | 87 | +30 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | My Master | 84 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Twin Turbo Line | 84 | 88 | 84 | +4 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Juan Carlos | 82 | 93 | 87 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Time Spirit | 71 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Category Four | 81 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | FSquadron | 75 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Secret Link | 80 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Romeo's Magic | 80 | 73 | 85 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Zuzan | 89 | 98 | 79 | +19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Ideal Jet | 88 | 81 | 87 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Eskimo Pie | 88 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points