Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 69 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Flying The Star
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Our Emily 3 55.0 1 0.00 4.5 62 60 62 +0 2 Diamond Girl 4 60.5 2 0.15 5.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Flying The Star 4 55.0 3 2.05 5.0 59 59 59 +0 4 Looking Hot 3 57.5 4 2.10 4.5 64 65 65 +1 5 Capriana 4 52.0 5 2.20 5.0 56 53 53 -3 6 Will O Me 2 54.0 6 3.10 3.0 68 61 61 -7 7 Perfect Appeal 3 54.5 7 5.00 4.5 58 59 59 +1 8 Antico Amore 3 56.5 8 7.70 4.5 62 63 63 +1 9 Vision Of Will 3 57.5 9 19.60 4.5 64 65 65 +1 99 Princess Santo 4 53.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Our Emily | 62 | 87 | 62 | +25 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Diamond Girl | 70 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Flying The Star Line | 59 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Looking Hot | 64 | 68 | 65 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Capriana | 56 | 59 | 53 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Will O Me | 68 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Perfect Appeal | 58 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Antico Amore | 62 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Vision Of Will | 64 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Princess Santo | - | 50 | 56 | -6 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points