Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FOLLOW CAPE RACING ON SOCIAL MEDIA MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For 2 yof R100 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Siddeley 2 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 - - - +0 2 Kyalami Girl 2 60.0 2 0.05 3.0 - - - +0 3 Oni San 2 60.0 3 3.05 3.0 - - - +0 4 October Morn 2 60.0 4 3.80 3.0 - - - +0 5 Strata 4 60.0 5 6.80 5.0 - - - +0 6 Blue Holly 4 60.0 6 7.20 5.0 - - - +0 7 Savic 2 60.0 7 11.45 3.0 - - - +0 8 Glee Club 2 60.0 8 12.20 3.0 - - - +0 9 Ticket To Vegas 2 60.0 9 12.25 3.0 - - - +0 10 Vandalise 2 60.0 10 13.50 3.0 - - - +0 11 Stolen Star 2 60.0 11 15.25 3.0 - - - +0 12 Charlene 2 60.0 12 16.50 3.0 - - - +0 13 Magmalicious 2 60.0 13 23.75 3.0 - - - +0 99 Sunshine Day 4 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - - - +0 99 Easy Money 4 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siddeley | - | 105 | - | +105 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kyalami Girl | - | 88 | - | +88 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Oni San | - | 78 | - | +78 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | October Morn | - | 119 | - | +119 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Strata | - | 74 | - | +74 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Blue Holly | - | 85 | - | +85 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Savic | - | 69 | - | +69 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Glee Club | - | 76 | - | +76 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ticket To Vegas | - | 68 | - | +68 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Vandalise | - | 67 | - | +67 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Stolen Star | - | 62 | - | +62 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Charlene | - | 78 | - | +78 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Magmalicious | - | 61 | - | +61 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sunshine Day | - | 69 | - | - | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Easy Money | - | 56 | - | - | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points