Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Fly To Rio
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Perilla              5    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   73    65           73    +0
2    Busy Lizzie          2    60.0    2    0.30     0.0   77    74           74    -3
3    Fly To Rio           4    54.5    3    0.70     2.0   59    59           59    +0
4    Black Path           6    53.5    4    0.75     0.0   57    60           60    +3
5    Virginia Sweet       2    60.0    5    0.80     0.0   77    73           73    -4
6    Seeking Peace        3    52.0    6    1.30     3.0   54    50           50    -4
7    Veronique            6    55.5    7    2.05     0.0   61    63           63    +2
8    Enchanted Creek      5    56.0    8    2.15     0.0   62    64           64    +2
9    Camille Claudel      2    59.5    9    4.15     0.0   76    69           69    -7
10   Anmer Hall (AUS)     6    56.0    10   14.90    0.0   62    61           61    -1
99   Beneath The Moon     2    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     67           67    +0
99   Thrilla              3    53.0    99   0.00     3.0   -     49           49    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Perilla 73 89 73 +16 0.0 -
2 Busy Lizzie 77 66 74 -8 0.0 -
3 Fly To Rio Line 59 54 59 -5 2.0
4 Black Path 57 58 60 -2 0.0 -
5 Virginia Sweet 77 92 73 +19 0.0 -
6 Seeking Peace 54 55 50 +5 3.0 -
7 Veronique 61 56 63 -7 0.0 -
8 Enchanted Creek 62 60 64 -4 0.0 -
9 Camille Claudel 76 69 69 ✓ Match 0.0 -
10 Anmer Hall (AUS) 62 55 61 -6 0.0 -
99 Beneath The Moon - 59 67 -8 0.0 -
99 Thrilla - 53 49 +4 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points