Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Son Of Raj
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Prime Example 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 71 66 71 +0 2 Monsieur Chevelle 3 60.5 2 0.05 6.0 68 62 62 -6 3 Flag Bearer 3 60.5 3 0.30 6.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Son Of Raj 5 58.5 4 1.40 0.0 75 75 75 +0 5 Understated 5 54.5 5 2.00 0.0 55 66 66 +11 6 So Long Spring 7 55.0 6 4.50 0.0 55 64 64 +9 7 Follow My Path 5 56.5 7 5.75 0.0 59 66 66 +7 8 Pacific Express 2 59.5 8 9.00 0.0 77 72 72 -5 9 Time Spirit 4 59.5 9 11.00 3.0 65 66 66 +1 10 Let There Be Light 4 60.5 10 11.20 3.0 67 68 68 +1 11 Gregor Macgregor 4 58.5 11 11.25 3.0 63 64 64 +1 12 Go Dream Machine 3 54.5 12 12.50 6.0 56 50 50 -6 13 Nuclear Force 5 59.0 13 16.50 0.0 76 71 71 -5 99 Twice In Camden 3 56.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 53 53 +0 99 Ideal Future 6 51.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prime Example | 71 | 93 | 71 | +22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Monsieur Chevelle | 68 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Flag Bearer | 68 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Son Of Raj Line | 75 | 116 | 75 | +41 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Understated | 55 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | So Long Spring | 55 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Follow My Path | 59 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pacific Express | 77 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Time Spirit | 65 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Let There Be Light | 67 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Gregor Macgregor | 63 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Go Dream Machine | 56 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Nuclear Force | 76 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Twice In Camden | - | 46 | 53 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ideal Future | - | 72 | 55 | +17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points