Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: BOOK A TABLE CALL 011-681-1796 CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 75 and below)
Line Horse
After Hours
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Stormy Seas 4 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 72 64 64 -8 2 Great Times 3 53.5 2 0.40 4.5 64 52 54 -10 3 After Hours 7 54.0 3 0.75 0.0 62 62 62 +0 4 South Boy (ARG) 4 60.0 4 1.40 5.0 73 64 64 -9 5 Siberian Steel 3 58.0 5 3.75 4.5 77 61 67 -10 6 Mandalay 3 52.5 6 4.00 4.5 63 50 53 -10 7 Timbavati River 3 56.0 7 5.75 4.5 64 57 57 -7 8 Phinda Mzala 4 56.0 8 6.25 5.0 66 56 56 -10 9 Insatiable 3 58.5 9 7.75 4.5 72 62 62 -10 10 Pendragon 5 54.5 10 9.75 0.0 69 63 63 -6 11 Primula 2 54.5 11 10.75 3.0 71 57 61 -10 12 Black Burner 3 56.0 12 14.00 4.5 65 57 57 -8 99 Silver Mensa 2 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stormy Seas | 72 | 77 | 64 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Great Times | 64 | 54 | 54 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | After Hours Line | 62 | 79 | 62 | +17 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | South Boy (ARG) | 73 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Siberian Steel | 77 | 80 | 67 | +13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mandalay | 63 | 53 | 53 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Timbavati River | 64 | 79 | 57 | +22 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Phinda Mzala | 66 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Insatiable | 72 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Pendragon | 69 | 73 | 63 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Primula | 71 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Black Burner | 65 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Silver Mensa | - | 77 | 65 | +12 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points