Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: MICHAEL ROBERTS STAKES (Listed) (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Fight Song
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gentleman's Wager 7 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 103 105 105 +2 2 Sir Michael 5 52.5 2 0.70 0.0 90 98 98 +8 3 Fight Song 4 52.0 3 0.95 3.0 90 90 90 +0 4 Decorated 4 52.5 4 1.45 3.0 81 90 90 +9 5 Astrix 5 61.0 5 3.15 0.0 112 112 112 +0 6 Crown Towers (AUS) 6 61.5 6 3.75 0.0 117 112 112 -5 7 Capoeira 6 60.5 7 3.90 0.0 109 110 110 +1 8 G G's Dynasty 6 58.5 8 4.30 0.0 103 105 105 +2 9 Tread Swiftly 4 54.5 9 5.05 3.0 95 91 91 -4 10 News Stream 6 53.5 10 5.35 0.0 93 95 95 +2 11 Magical Midlands 4 52.0 11 10.75 3.0 90 86 86 -4 12 Wealthy 9 52.5 12 11.35 0.0 91 93 93 +2 13 Spring Fling 6 53.0 13 13.55 0.0 92 94 94 +2 14 Sea Master 4 52.0 14 14.45 3.0 88 86 86 -2 99 Tristful 6 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 110 110 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gentleman's Wager | 103 | 106 | 105 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sir Michael | 90 | 81 | 98 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fight Song Line | 90 | 94 | 90 | +4 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Decorated | 81 | 96 | 90 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Astrix | 112 | 118 | 112 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Crown Towers (AUS) | 117 | 113 | 112 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Capoeira | 109 | 102 | 110 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | G G's Dynasty | 103 | 100 | 105 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tread Swiftly | 95 | 90 | 91 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | News Stream | 93 | 83 | 95 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Magical Midlands | 90 | 79 | 86 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Wealthy | 91 | 90 | 93 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Spring Fling | 92 | 96 | 94 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Sea Master | 88 | 99 | 86 | +13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tristful | - | 107 | 110 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points