Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (For Maidens R15000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Joe Harman
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Medlers Tart 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 69 52 52 -17 2 Popping Crease 2 60.0 2 6.25 0.0 71 59 61 -10 3 Joe Harman 4 60.0 3 7.50 3.0 53 53 53 +0 4 Belle's First Wave 3 60.0 4 11.75 6.0 58 47 48 -10 5 Space Explorer 2 60.0 5 14.00 0.0 67 59 59 -8 6 Jack In The Box 5 60.0 6 21.25 0.0 58 59 59 +1 7 Lead A Merry Dance 3 60.0 7 21.50 6.0 50 47 47 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medlers Tart | 69 | 92 | 52 | +40 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Popping Crease | 71 | 74 | 61 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Joe Harman Line | 53 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Belle's First Wave | 58 | 51 | 48 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Space Explorer | 67 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Jack In The Box | 58 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lead A Merry Dance | 50 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points