Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MAIDEN HANDICAP (F & M) (Maiden(F&M) R15000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Magenta
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lily Of Orange 3 52.0 1 0.00 3.0 50 48 50 +0 2 Red Centre 2 57.0 2 0.75 0.0 67 68 68 +1 3 Magenta 4 53.0 3 2.25 2.0 55 55 55 +0 4 Elusive Jewel 2 52.0 4 3.00 0.0 55 56 56 +1 5 Afrodite 3 60.0 5 5.50 3.0 73 64 64 -9 6 Sundrop 6 53.0 6 6.75 0.0 52 56 56 +4 7 Texas Tornado 2 54.5 7 10.75 0.0 62 59 59 -3 8 Antonia Augusta 2 52.5 8 13.00 0.0 55 55 55 +0 9 Karoo Magic 2 53.5 9 18.50 0.0 60 57 57 -3 10 Mercurial Jet 3 58.0 10 22.50 3.0 62 60 60 -2 11 Spring Fever 2 52.0 11 22.55 0.0 54 54 54 +0 99 Yaya Maria 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lily Of Orange | 50 | 55 | 50 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Red Centre | 67 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Magenta Line | 55 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Elusive Jewel | 55 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Afrodite | 73 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sundrop | 52 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Texas Tornado | 62 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Antonia Augusta | 55 | 57 | 55 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Karoo Magic | 60 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mercurial Jet | 62 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Spring Fever | 54 | 53 | 54 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Yaya Maria | - | 60 | 67 | -7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points