Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Night Tiger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Wyag 2 55.5 1 0.00 3.0 77 71 77 +0 2 Fort Red 4 58.5 2 1.75 5.0 77 73 73 -4 3 Noble City 3 60.5 3 1.80 4.5 87 78 78 -9 4 Swift Action 3 53.5 4 3.55 4.5 67 64 64 -3 5 Night Tiger 5 55.0 5 3.85 0.0 76 76 76 +0 6 Veldskoen (AUS) 4 58.0 6 4.85 5.0 76 72 72 -4 7 Winter Pearl 6 53.5 7 6.35 0.0 67 73 73 +6 8 Charlie Malone 5 56.5 8 6.40 0.0 79 79 79 +0 99 Transact 3 60.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wyag | 77 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fort Red | 77 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Noble City | 87 | 93 | 78 | +15 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Swift Action | 67 | 77 | 64 | +13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Night Tiger Line | 76 | 67 | 76 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Veldskoen (AUS) | 76 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Winter Pearl | 67 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Charlie Malone | 79 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Transact | - | 77 | 78 | -1 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points