Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Toffas
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Celestial City 4 57.0 1 0.00 2.0 74 75 74 +0 2 Toffas 3 59.5 2 1.80 4.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Lord Varys 4 57.5 3 4.10 2.0 75 77 77 +2 4 Bloomington 3 55.0 4 4.30 4.0 75 67 67 -8 5 Climate Control 2 61.0 5 9.00 0.0 90 87 87 -3 6 Invincible Warrior 4 60.0 6 10.10 2.0 80 81 81 +1 7 Letsdoit 3 59.0 7 16.10 4.0 78 75 75 -3 8 Waqaas (AUS) 6 56.5 8 20.10 0.0 73 78 78 +5 9 Ballon D'or 5 58.0 9 23.35 0.0 76 81 81 +5 99 Bushveld 3 52.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 61 61 +0 99 In Cahoots 6 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 99 River Romeo 2 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celestial City | 74 | 92 | 74 | +18 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Toffas Line | 79 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Lord Varys | 75 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Bloomington | 75 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Climate Control | 90 | 65 | 87 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Invincible Warrior | 80 | 76 | 81 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Letsdoit | 78 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Waqaas (AUS) | 73 | 56 | 78 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ballon D'or | 76 | 61 | 81 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bushveld | - | 56 | 61 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | In Cahoots | - | 54 | 79 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | River Romeo | - | 94 | 81 | +13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points