Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 9 MARCH MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
TURFFONTEIN RACECOURSE | Tuesday, 21 February 2023 | 16:25
Distance:
1600m
Going:
Yielding
Stakes:
R75,000
Weight For Age(SSL) 3yrs:4.0 Weight For Age(SNL) 3yrs:6.0 4yrs:0.5
Race Results
| Pos | Horse | A.C.S. | Weight | Draw | Jockey | Len | MR | CMR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Fasinada | 4 ch. f | 53.5kg | 14 | - | - | - | 52 | 25/1 |
| - | Big City Girl | 4 b. f | 53.5kg | 2 | - | - | - | 59 | 6/1 |
| - | Napoleon | 3 b. g | 60.5kg | 13 | - | - | - | 72 | - |
| - | Tara Iti | 4 b. g | 53.0kg | 10 | - | - | - | 52 | - |
| 1st | Follow My Path | 5 b. g | 55.0kg | 12 | Mr R Munger | - | 58 | 54 | 25/2 |
| 2nd | Oyster King | 5 b. g | 59.0kg | 10 | Mr R Danielson | 1.0 | 66 | 50 | 10/1 |
| 3rd | Luthuli | 5 b. h | 51.5kg (54.0) | 11 | Mr S Sosibo | 2.25 | 64 | 74 | 10/1 |
| 4 | Parker Getrix | 4 b. g | 54.5kg | 9 | Mr J Penny | 2.5 | 57 | 56 | 33/1 |
| 5 | Gregor Macgregor | 4 b. g | 56.0kg | 13 | Mr D de Gouveia | 3.0 | 60 | 63 | 40/1 |
| 6 | Mr Molony TF | 3 b. g | 60.0kg | 14 | Mr K de Melo | 4.5 | 68 | 67 | 6/1 |
| 7 | Lady Sanza | 3 b. f | 54.5kg | 8 | Mr N A Qaule | 5.75 | 57 | 58 | 100/1 |
| 8 | Black Lightning | 2 b. g | 56.5kg (59.0) | 7 | Mr D B Geerthsen | 7.0 | 74 | 64 | 16/1 |
| 9 | Maboneng | 3 b. f | 55.5kg | 2 | Mr K Matsunyane | 7.25 | 59 | 67 | 11/2 |
| 10 | Midnight Crystal | 2 b. f | 56.5kg | 6 | Mr P Mxoli | 8.0 | 69 | 66 | 25/1 |
| 11 | Timeforthat | 4 b. f | 56.5kg | 1 | Mr J P van der Merwe | 8.5 | 61 | 60 | 15/2 |
| 12 | Montmerency | 3 b. g | 58.0kg | 4 | Mr D W Schwarz | 9.0 | 64 | 59 | 17/2 |
| 13 | Just Eminent | 3 b. g | 59.5kg | 3 | Mr G J Lerena | 11.75 | 75 | 60 | 6/1 |
| 14 | Scottadito | 3 b. f | 55.0kg | 5 | Mr C R Maujean | 14.0 | 58 | 55 | 25/1 |
Race Timing
Winning Time
99.7s
Average Time
98.83s
Difference
+%.2fs
Total Pool
R705,000
Rating Analysis
| Horse | Pos | MR Before | MR After | Official Δ | Expected Δ | Discrepancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Follow My Path | 1 | 58 | 54 | + 7 | -11 | |
| Oyster King | 2 | 66 | 50 | -1 | -15 | |
| Luthuli | 3 | 64 | 74 | -1 | + 11 | |
| Parker Getrix | 4 | 57 | 56 | -1 | ||
| Gregor Macgregor | 5 | 60 | 63 | -2 | + 5 | |
| Mr Molony | 6 | 68 | 67 | -2 | + 1 | |
| Lady Sanza | 7 | 57 | 58 | -2 | + 3 | |
| Black Lightning | 8 | 74 | 64 | -3 | -7 | |
| Maboneng | 9 | 59 | 67 | -3 | + 11 | |
| Midnight Crystal | 10 | 69 | 66 | -3 | ||
| Timeforthat | 11 | 61 | 60 | -3 | + 2 | |
| Montmerency | 12 | 64 | 59 | -4 | -1 | |
| Just Eminent | 13 | 75 | 60 | -4 | -11 | |
| Scottadito | 14 | 58 | 55 | -5 | + 2 | |
| Fasinada | None | - | 52 | - | -188 | - |
| Big City Girl | None | - | 59 | - | -188 | - |
| Napoleon | None | - | 72 | - | -188 | - |
| Tara Iti | None | - | 52 | - | -188 | - |
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms.
Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.
Stipes Report
THE STARTER REPORTED: a) BLACK LIGHTNING (*D B Geerthsen) and GREGOR MACGREGOR (D De Gouveia) jumped inwards leaving the stalls. b) MIDNIGHT CRYSTAL (*P Mxoli) and LADY SANZA (N Qaule) were slow into stride. THE STIPENDIARY STEWARDS REPORTED: a) As the start was effected, BLACK LIGHTNING (*D B Geerthsen), jumped awkwardly inwards making contact with the right-side front gate b) MONTMERENCY (D Schwarz) was continually baulked for a clear run from the 400m to the 200m. c) BLACK LIGHTNING (*D B Geerthsen) hung in from the 400m. d) JUST EMINENT (G Lerena), which raced prominently throughout, tired badly from the 300m. In view of this performance, the Veterinary Surgeon was requested to examine this gelding. e) FOLLOW MY PATH (R Munger), the winner, was selected for the taking of specimens for analysis. Trainer B B Ruiters advised (MS). JOCKEY CHANGES: a) MIDNIGHT CRYSTAL was ridden by Apprentice P Mxoli (declared 21 February 2023 at 07H36). RACE CARD CHANGES / OTHER: a) BLACK LIGHTNING raced with a pressure halter (declared 15 February 2023 at 13H09). THE VETERINARY SURGEON REPORTED: a) JUST EMINENT examined post race, nothing obvious detected. b) MIDNIGHT CRYSTAL abnormal respiratory noise; in season. c) LADY SANZA overreached left front. SCRATCHED: a) FASINADA eliminated. Advised 21 February 2023 at 08H31. b) TARA ITI reserve runner. Advised 21 February 2023 at 08H31. c) NAPOLEON reserve runner. Advised 21 February 2023 at 08H31. d) BIG CITY GIRL eliminated. Advised 21 February 2023 at 08H32. DISQUALIFIED / DECLARED NON-RUNNER: None.